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Google
is not happy with Microsoft's offer for Yahoo and company is
not hiding it's concerns, in-fact is very loudly and openly
telling it to every one. Now why search giant Google is
uncomfortable about this deal even combine market share of
Yahoo and Microsoft is much below Google's market share in
search market.
Google
is worried, not without any reason, this is the only
combination that can challenge it's search market supremacy
and that too very quickly. Google and Microsoft both know that
Yahoo has the most valuable assets in the internet world i.e.
it's users, Yahoo has nearly 500 million users more than any other
in the world. Ref. :-
Yahoo @ 44 billion : It's Yahoo for Microsoft
This
high user base of Yahoo and technologic excellence of
Microsoft both combined together, is the biggest risk for
Google. If every thing goes right, then this combination is capable
of changing the online search marketing scenario within a time
of few months . Google which currently is undisputed leader of
search marketing and is gaining more share by every passing
day could even find it difficult to maintain its existing
market share of search marketing. Although possibility of any
thing like this happening in next few months is less, but this
can certainly happen in next couple of years.
People's
are suggesting many options for Google to stop this deal
either by supporting counter bid of some other potential
buyers or by using anti-competition regulations. But these are
less likely to happen because Yahoo assets are most valuable
for both Google and Microsoft, for any other company Yahoo is
not that valuable. Google itself can't buy Yahoo due to
anti-competition regulations. Present search marketing share
of combined Yahoo and Microsoft is not likely to evoke any
anti-competition regulation.
The
rescue
The one who can stop this deal is Yahoo itself, but seemingly
financially Yahoo is not capable of doing something like that
without hurting its future interests.
In
my view one way to save Yahoo from potential merger is, Google
can come forward to buy Yahoo's equity interests in Alibaba
and Yahoo Japan and must give both entities a fundamental
valuations which is certainly much above its current market
values particularly that of Yahoo Japan. Fundamentally Yahoo
Japan can be valued twice its market valuations and could give
yahoo about $13 billions in hand when sold, this coupled with
$5 billion from Alibaba's sales can give yahoo enough financial
strength to avoid a merger by initiating a buy back and giving
a exit opportunity to those stockholders who want to exit
company at near current valuations. Paying a big dividend is
also an option but this will not rescue company for any future
takeover bid.
This article reflects personal view of the author and one must
consult its financial adviser before making any investment
decision

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