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  Visa Inc., or Visa, is offering 406,000,000 shares of class A common stock.

Business :- Electronic payments network.

Listing :- NYSE

Symbol:- "V"

Business Overview

IPO Report

Offer/Objects of issue

  

Business

Visa operates the world's largest retail electronic payments network and manages the world's most recognized global financial services brand. Visa facilitate global commerce through the transfer of value and information among financial institutions, merchants, consumers, businesses and government entities. It provide financial institutions (it's primary customers) with product platforms encompassing consumer credit, debit, prepaid and commercial payments. In this business company competes with companies like  MasterCard, American Express, Discover etc.

To know more about its business click here...

Reorganization (summary)

In October 2007 company completes its reorganization under which all of company's operation (except the Europe operations (Visa Europe)) comes under one company Visa Inc. (Visa Inc and Visa Europe entered into a framework agreement providing for exclusive, perpetual, non-transferable trademark and technology licenses within Visa Europe?s field of use and the provision of certain bilateral services). 

Company issues different class of shares to its existing shares holders according to regions in which they operate. (to fix liability for certain regional legal litigation)

Dividends

Company currently intend to pay a quarterly dividend, in cash, at an annual rate initially equal to $0.42 per share of class A common stock (representing a quarterly rate initially equal to $0.105 per share) commencing with the quarter ended June 30, 2008.

Offer/Objects of issue

For details click here...


Revenue

Whenever you make a purchase using a card with Visa brand either at a merchant establishment or through internet you contribute to Visa's revenue. Visa normally generate its service fees revenue on the basis of "payments volume", and data processing revenue on the basis of "No. of transactions".

Company generate revenue from following segments:

(Quarter Ended December 31, 2007)

Segment

$ in millions

In %

Services fees

732

49.19%

Data processing fees

492

33.06%

International transaction fees

381

25.60%

Other revenues

133

8.93%

Volume and support incentives

-250

-16.80%

Total

1488

 

Company's current market position

  • As on September 30, 2007, Customers of "Visa" (mainly financial institutions) had issued 1.5 billion cards carrying it's brands. In other words currently nearly 1.5 billion cards carrying Visa symbol are under circulation world over. 

  • Visa-branded cards are accepted in more than 170 countries around the world.


Financials

Company's financial year ends on September 30.

 (in $ million)

   

Three Months Ended December

  FY 2006

FY 2007

2006

2007

%Change

Operating revenues

3,902

5,193

845

1,488

76%
Operating Expenses 3,199

6,309

536

802

49.6%
(Loss) income from operations 703 (1,116)**

309

686 122%

Other Income (Expenses)

32

108

14

(3)

 

(Loss) Income before income taxes

735 (1,008)**

323

683

111%
Income tax (benefit) expense 282 (147)

119

259  
Net (loss) income  453 (861)**

204

424 107%

 ** Includes Litigation provision of $2,653 million. (includes provision for some future payables)

 

Company has shown nearly 76% growth in revenues and nearly 107% growth in net income in quarter ended Dec 2007 as compare to quarter ended Dec 2006

During three months ended December 31, 2007 growth in operating revenues exceeded growth in payments and transactions volumes reflecting the continued impact of new service fees introduced in the second half of fiscal 2007 and changes in pricing for various services in regions outside the United States, these pricing changes will continue to generate ongoing benefits but will not contribute to revenue growth in future to this extent. In addition, new and renewed volume and support incentive agreements executed late in the first quarter of fiscal 2008 are expected to increase volume and support incentives significantly during the second fiscal quarter.

Company's balance sheet is strong and cash flows are enough for Dividends and to support future growth.


Valuation/Offer value (in $ million)

At offer price of $39.50, Company's shares are available at PE of nearly 19 (annualizing first quarter FY 2008 adjusted net profit)

 

Q1FY 2008 net income Annualized EPS PE
424-(11+16)*= 397 397*4 = 1588 2.04 19

*Accretion of class C (series II) common stock (intend to redeem in 2008, for 1.146 billion) = 11 million

 Amount allocated to participating class C (series III) redemption shares held by Visa Europe (to be redeem in October 2008 for 1.2 billion) = 16 million

 

Total shares

777,070,042++

Valuation

$30.5 billion

Share price $39.50

++ Excludes 79,748,847 class C (series II) and 31,592,881 class C (series III) redemption shares.

 

Points to consider before investing in stock markets

  • Current US economic outlook as any slowdown in US will effect the company growth rate.

  • Current fluctuation in stock markets

Company is the leader in it's industry with very high brand recognition. Industry itself if expected to show moderate growth in US and Europe and significant growth in Asia and Africa regions. Fundamentally at offer price of 39.50 and PE of 19, company offers a "low Risk High Growth" long-term investment opportunity. (Assuming that company perform with in expectations).

 

Low Risk

High Growth

See Negatives below

See positives below

 

Company/Industry expectations

(these are just assumptions and company can perform differently)

  • With rising popularity of plastic money due to different reasons like safety, security, easy to carry, more acceptability at merchant establishments, cross-border utilization company's market is likely to show growth rate of 11% ( 06-'12 Cumulative annual growth rate) with Asia pacific and Africa will contribute most in growth.

  • With rising popularity of computer and internet the online shopping and e-commerce activities will rise and will help company's like Visa.

  • Due to its leading position and establish relationships company should be able to make most out of growing opportunities.

Negatives

  • Complex corporate structure.
    Company's corporate and equity structure is complex due to recent reorganization with various class of shares many of which are due for redemption within one year of this offering by utilizing money raised from this offering.

  • No direct link with its end users
    Company don't issue cards, and is totally dependent on its customers to issues Visa branded cards to its end users.

  • Expected slowdown in growth rate.
    Although company has shown significant financial growth rate during three months ended Dec 2007 but in future it is not expected to show similar growth due to economy slowdown, fee raised during second half of FY 2007 which are main reason for recent growth is fully factored in current revenues, and expected  increase in volume and support incentives. Although still company's revenues is expected to show growth inline with industry growth which itself is expected to rise @11% in near future.

  • Future share redemptions (obligations and plans) & Visa Europe Put-Call Option Agreement.
    With in one year of completion of this offering company is intended to redeem various class of it's shares held by Visa Europe which will lead to a cash outflow of nearly $2.4 billion. Further Visa Europe holds a put option under which the Company ("Visa Inc.") is required to purchase from its members all of the share capital
    of Visa Europe. At the date of reorganization (October 01, 2007), the fair value of the put option was approximately $346 million. (Although all redemption expenditure is expected to be funded by current offering.)

  • Additional litigation provision.
    Although in FY 2007 company has made a Litigation provision of $2,653 million (includes provision for some future payables) in its consolidated account statements. Still for the quarter ended March 31, 2008, Company currently expect to record an additional litigation provision of approximately $285 million related to the covered litigation, which will be recorded as a charge against income. (Although adequate measures has been taken by company to protect new shareholders from any past litigation provisions.)

  • Utilization of proceeds
    Most of the proceeds of this offering will be utilize by the company to redeem existing shares so the most amount raised from this offering will not go to company's business.

Positives

  • Industry leader.
    Visa operates the world?s largest retail electronic payments network with nearly 1.5 billion Visa branded cards issued so far.

  • Vast reach
    One of the company's biggest strength is it's vast reach in nearly 170 countries which to some extent isolate it from country specific slowdown although still company collect major part of its revenue from US and its performance will be effected by any US slowdown.

  • Biggest and trusted brand.
    Visa is one of the biggest, trusted and most know brand in global payment industry not only with financial institutions but also with its end users. This trust and brand recognition is most valuable asset in any payment industry.

  • Existing relationships.
    Company generate its revenues from all over world and hold strong relationships with leading financial institutions world over.

  • Ample growth opportunity
    Electronic payment industry provides ample growth opportunity for Visa, as it still is a uprising industry in fast growing Asia and Africa regions which hold significant part of world population. Data shows that Debit Card market is still in a early stage of evolution in regions outside US and Europe. With rising number of card holders and rising number of merchant establishment accepting cards, market can show Hugh growth in future.

  • Diversified product offering
    Company offer comprehensive suite of electronic payment products and services. Its  product platforms encompass credit, debit, cash access and prepaid products for consumers, businesses and governments. These product platforms enable its customers to develop and customize their own payment programs to meet the needs of their cardholders and merchants.

  • Small transaction size
    Visa's average transaction size (below $ 80 per transaction) is much below the size of its competitors (mostly above $100), which leaves lot of room for improvement in terms of volumes.

Possible reason behind offering (despite the current negative sentiments in stock markets).

Despite the current negative sentiments in stock markets company is coming out with a IPO because it's most promoters are financial institutions and most of them due to recent credit market meltdown are in very urgent need of cash for their core business and by selling some part of their holing in company they are likely to come out from their present trouble.

What make Visa IPO special

  • Its the largest IPO offered in US.

  • Despite being industry leader this IPO comes at significant discount to its comparable peer companies like Master card etc due to the urgent need and financial hardship of some of the company's promoters.

 

 

This article reflects personal view of the author about the company and one must read offer prospectus and consult its financial adviser before making any investment decision