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Business
Visa
operates the world's largest retail electronic payments
network and manages the world's most recognized global
financial services brand. Visa facilitate
global commerce through the transfer of value and information
among financial institutions, merchants, consumers, businesses
and government entities. It provide financial institutions (it's primary
customers) with product platforms encompassing
consumer credit, debit, prepaid and commercial payments. In
this business company competes with companies like
MasterCard, American Express, Discover etc.
To
know more about its business click
here...
Reorganization
(summary)
In
October 2007 company completes its reorganization under which
all of company's operation (except the Europe operations (Visa
Europe)) comes
under one company Visa Inc. (Visa Inc and Visa Europe entered
into a framework agreement providing for exclusive, perpetual,
non-transferable trademark and technology licenses within Visa
Europe?s field of use and the provision of certain bilateral
services).
Company issues different class of shares to its
existing shares holders according to regions in which they
operate. (to fix liability for certain
regional legal litigation)
Dividends
Company
currently intend to pay a quarterly dividend, in cash, at an
annual rate initially equal to $0.42 per share of class A
common stock (representing a quarterly rate initially equal to
$0.105 per share) commencing with the quarter ended June 30,
2008.
Offer/Objects
of issue
For
details click
here...
Revenue
Whenever
you make a purchase using a card with Visa brand either at a merchant
establishment or through internet you contribute to Visa's
revenue. Visa normally generate its service fees revenue on
the basis of
"payments volume", and data processing revenue on
the basis of
"No. of transactions".
Company
generate revenue from following segments:
(Quarter
Ended December 31, 2007)
|
Segment |
$
in millions |
In
% |
|
Services
fees |
732 |
49.19% |
|
Data
processing fees |
492 |
33.06% |
|
International
transaction fees |
381 |
25.60% |
|
Other
revenues |
133 |
8.93% |
|
Volume
and support incentives |
-250 |
-16.80% |
|
Total |
1488 |
|
Company's
current market position
-
As
on September 30, 2007, Customers of "Visa" (mainly
financial institutions) had issued
1.5 billion cards carrying it's brands. In other words
currently nearly 1.5 billion cards carrying Visa symbol
are under circulation world over.
-
Visa-branded cards
are accepted in more
than 170 countries around the world.
Financials
Company's
financial year ends on September 30.
(in $
million)
| |
|
Three
Months Ended December |
| |
FY
2006 |
FY
2007 |
2006 |
2007 |
%Change |
| Operating
revenues |
3,902 |
5,193 |
845 |
1,488 |
76% |
| Operating
Expenses |
3,199 |
6,309 |
536 |
802 |
49.6% |
| (Loss)
income from operations |
703 |
(1,116)** |
309 |
686 |
122% |
|
Other
Income (Expenses) |
32 |
108 |
14 |
(3) |
|
|
(Loss)
Income before income taxes |
735 |
(1,008)** |
323 |
683 |
111% |
|
Income tax
(benefit) expense |
282 |
(147) |
119 |
259 |
|
|
Net (loss)
income |
453 |
(861)** |
204 |
424 |
107% |
**
Includes Litigation provision of $2,653 million. (includes
provision for some future payables)
Company
has shown nearly 76% growth in revenues and nearly 107% growth
in net income in quarter ended Dec 2007 as compare to quarter
ended Dec 2006
During
three months ended December 31, 2007 growth in operating
revenues exceeded growth in payments and transactions volumes
reflecting the continued impact of new service fees introduced
in the second half of fiscal 2007 and changes in pricing for
various services in regions outside the United States, these
pricing changes will continue to generate ongoing benefits but
will not contribute to revenue growth in future to this extent. In
addition, new and renewed volume and support incentive
agreements executed late in the first quarter of fiscal 2008 are
expected to increase volume and support incentives significantly
during the second fiscal quarter.
Company's
balance sheet is strong and cash flows are enough for Dividends
and to support future growth.
Valuation/Offer
value (in
$ million)
At
offer price of $39.50, Company's shares are available at PE of nearly
19 (annualizing first quarter FY 2008 adjusted net profit)
| Q1FY
2008 net income |
Annualized |
EPS |
PE |
| 424-(11+16)*=
397 |
397*4
= 1588 |
2.04 |
19 |
*Accretion
of class C (series II) common stock (intend to redeem in 2008,
for 1.146 billion) = 11 million
Amount
allocated to participating class C (series III) redemption
shares held by Visa Europe (to be redeem in October 2008 for
1.2 billion) = 16 million
| Total
shares |
777,070,042++ |
| Valuation |
$30.5
billion |
| Share
price |
$39.50 |
++
Excludes
79,748,847 class C (series II) and 31,592,881 class C
(series III) redemption shares.
Points
to consider before investing in stock markets
|
Company
is the leader in it's industry with very high brand
recognition. Industry itself if expected to show moderate
growth in US and Europe and significant growth in Asia and
Africa regions. Fundamentally
at
offer
price of 39.50 and PE of 19, company
offers a "low Risk High
Growth" long-term investment opportunity. (Assuming
that company perform with in expectations). |
|
Low
Risk |
High
Growth |
|
See Negatives
below |
See
positives below |
Company/Industry
expectations
(these
are just assumptions and company can perform differently)
-
With
rising popularity of plastic money due to different
reasons like safety, security, easy to carry, more acceptability
at merchant establishments, cross-border utilization
company's market is likely to show growth rate of 11% (
06-'12 Cumulative annual growth rate) with Asia pacific
and Africa will contribute most in growth.
-
With
rising popularity of computer and internet the online shopping
and e-commerce activities will rise and will help
company's like Visa.
-
Due
to its leading position and establish relationships
company should be able to make most out of growing
opportunities.
Negatives
-
Complex
corporate structure.
Company's corporate and equity structure is complex due to
recent reorganization with various class of shares many of
which are due for redemption within one year of this
offering by utilizing money raised from this offering.
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No
direct link with its end users
Company don't issue cards, and is totally dependent on its
customers to issues Visa branded cards to its end users.
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Expected
slowdown in growth rate.
Although
company has shown significant financial growth rate during
three months ended Dec 2007 but in future it is not
expected to show similar growth due to economy slowdown,
fee raised during second half of FY 2007 which are main
reason for recent growth is fully factored in current
revenues, and expected increase in volume and support incentives.
Although still company's revenues is expected to show
growth inline with industry growth which itself is
expected to rise @11% in near future.
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Future
share redemptions (obligations and plans) & Visa
Europe Put-Call Option Agreement.
With in one year of completion of this offering
company is intended to redeem various class of it's shares
held by Visa Europe which will lead to a cash outflow of
nearly $2.4 billion. Further Visa Europe holds a put
option under which the Company ("Visa Inc.") is
required to purchase from its members all of the share
capital of
Visa Europe. At the date of reorganization (October 01,
2007), the fair value
of the put option was approximately $346 million. (Although
all redemption expenditure is expected to be funded by
current offering.)
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Additional
litigation provision.
Although
in FY 2007 company has made a Litigation provision of $2,653
million (includes
provision for some future payables) in its consolidated account
statements. Still for the quarter ended March 31, 2008,
Company currently expect to record an additional
litigation provision of approximately $285
million related to the covered litigation, which
will be recorded as a charge against income. (Although
adequate measures has been taken by company to protect new
shareholders from any past litigation provisions.)
-
Utilization
of proceeds
Most of the proceeds of this offering will be
utilize by the company to redeem existing shares so the
most amount raised from this offering will not go to
company's business.
Positives
-
Industry
leader.
Visa
operates the world?s largest retail electronic payments
network with nearly 1.5 billion Visa branded cards issued so
far.
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Vast
reach
One of the company's
biggest strength is it's vast reach in nearly 170
countries which to some extent isolate it from country
specific slowdown although still company collect major
part of its revenue from US and its performance will be
effected by any US slowdown.
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Biggest
and trusted brand.
Visa is one of the biggest, trusted and most know brand in
global payment industry not only with financial institutions
but also with its end users. This trust and brand recognition
is most valuable asset in any payment industry.
-
Existing relationships.
Company generate its revenues from all over world and hold strong relationships
with leading financial institutions world over.
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Ample
growth opportunity
Electronic
payment industry provides ample growth opportunity for
Visa, as it still is a uprising industry in fast growing Asia
and Africa regions which hold significant part of world
population. Data shows that Debit Card market is still in
a early stage of evolution in regions outside US and
Europe. With rising number of card holders and rising
number of merchant establishment accepting cards, market
can show Hugh growth in future.
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Diversified
product offering
Company offer comprehensive suite of electronic
payment products and services. Its product platforms
encompass credit, debit, cash access and prepaid products
for consumers, businesses and governments. These product
platforms enable its customers to develop and customize
their own payment programs to meet the needs of their
cardholders and merchants.
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Small
transaction size
Visa's average transaction size (below $ 80 per transaction)
is much below the size of its competitors (mostly above
$100), which leaves lot of room for improvement in terms
of volumes.
Possible
reason behind offering (despite the current negative
sentiments in stock markets).
Despite
the current negative sentiments in stock markets company is coming
out with a IPO because it's most promoters are financial institutions
and most of them due to recent credit market meltdown are in
very urgent need of cash for their core business and by selling
some part of their holing in company they are likely to come
out from their present trouble.
What
make Visa IPO special
-
Its
the largest IPO offered in US.
-
Despite
being industry leader this IPO comes at significant
discount to its comparable peer companies like Master card
etc due to the urgent need and financial hardship of some
of the company's promoters.
This article reflects personal view of the author
about the company and one must read offer prospectus and
consult its financial adviser before making any investment
decision
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